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Economist, Oct 20, 2012

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楼主
发表于 10-24-2012 10:58:05 | 只看该作者 回帖奖励 |倒序浏览 |阅读模式
(1) Tawang | A Dalai Lama Dilemma; This small region may one day thrust itself back into the headlines.
http://www.economist.com/news/as ... self-back-headlines
("Imperial Britain placed Tawang inside India’s borders only in 1914, at a conference in Simla (today, Shimla). Tibet, then enjoying independence, attended, and China—though it never signed the accord. Chinese newspapers still refer to Arunachal Pradesh as 'South Tibet.' Tawang’s importance may grow. Mao Zedong’s suppression of a Tibetan uprising in 1959 drove the 14th, and current, Dalai Lama to seek refuge in India, first in Tawang monastery")

Note:
(a) Shimla
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shimla
(formerly known as Simla; is the capital city of the Indian state of Himachal Pradesh)
(b) Himachal Pradesh
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Himachal_Pradesh
(Hima means snow in Sanskrit, and the literal meaning of the state's name is In the lap of Himalayas)

This state is not the same as Arunachal Pradesh.
(c) pradesh
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pradesh
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沙发
 楼主| 发表于 10-24-2012 10:58:36 | 只看该作者
(2) The following two reprots are about MITTLESTAND. The (a) describes the French want to emulate Germany and create its own mittlestand, whereas (b) talks about the contribution of America's mittlestand. Please recall that Taiwan is dominated by mittlestand.

(a) Mid-sized companies |  Why Doesn’t France Have a Mittelstand?  Envy of Germany’s medium-sized family firms sparks a desire to emulate them
http://www.economist.com/news/bu ... desire-emulate-them
("Strictly, a Mittelstand firm has fewer than 500 employees and turnover of less than €50m ($66m), though in practice the term also applies to larger firms. * * * But for Ludwig Erhard, the economics minister who crafted West Germany’s post-war revival, the Mittelstand was never just about numbers. 'It is more an expression of a state of mind and a specific attitude,' he wrote in 1956")
(b) Mid-sized companies (2): America |  The Mighty Middle; Medium-sized firms are the unsung heroes of America’s economy.
http://www.economist.com/news/bu ... a%E2%80%99s-economy

Quote:

(i) America has around 197,000 medium-sized firms, defined as those with annual revenues between $10m and $1 billion, according to data from the National Centre for the Middle Market at Ohio State University. Together, they employ over 40m people in the country population [which US Census Bureau estimated to be 314 million on Oct 24, 2012] and account for around one-third of private-sector GDP

"Some 82% of medium-sized firms survived the dark years of 2007-10, compared with 57% of small firms. And although the survival rate among the 2,100 big firms (with revenue over $1 billion) was 97%, these giants shed 3.7m jobs during those years. Mid-sized companies, by contrast, added 2.2m jobs.

(ii) America’s mid-sized firms have much in common with the Mittelstand businesses that are admired (see article) as the engine of Germany’s economy. They are concentrated in the industrial heartland, rather as Mittelstand firms are in southern Germany. They have typically been around a while; the average age is 31 years. And they tend to be privately owned: 31% by a family, and a further 40% by some combination of private equity and family. Only 14% are traded on a stockmarket. By contrast, two-thirds of big firms are publicly owned. The freedom from short-term stockmarket pressures is one reason why middling firms have been more willing to invest for the long term despite the tough economy, says Anil Makhija, who runs the National Centre for the Middle Market.

Lately, they have done strikingly well in industries where a dominant big firm has run into trouble. In the motor-vehicle parts industry, in 2010-11, after Lear Corp filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection, its medium-sized competitors such as Standard Motor Products in Long Island City increased their combined revenue by 13% and their employment from 106,000 to 147,000. After Borders was liquidated in 2011, medium-sized booksellers such as Books A Million (from Alabama) and Half Price Books (a Texan chain) have together increased employment by 4.1%, to 49,150.

Mr Makhija has studied the fastest-growing mid-sized firms, to see what they were doing differently. They turn out to be more focused on what their customers want (those with social-media strategies did especially well) and to use more state-of-the-art management methods. They also tend to be remarkably globalised, again like Mittelstand firms.

(ii) "America’s mid-sized firms have much in common with the Mittelstand businesses that are admired (see article) as the engine of Germany’s economy. They are concentrated in the industrial heartland, rather as Mittelstand firms are in southern Germany. They have typically been around a while; the average age is 31 years. And they tend to be privately owned: 31% by a family, and a further 40% by some combination of private equity and family. Only 14% are traded on a stockmarket. By contrast, two-thirds of big firms are publicly owned. * * * Lately, they [America’s mid-sized firms] have done strikingly well in industries where a dominant big firm has run into trouble. [in the motor-vehicle parts industry and bookstore chains, for example] * * * They turn out to be more focused on what their customers want * * * They also tend to be remarkably globalised, again like Mittelstand firms.
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板凳
 楼主| 发表于 10-24-2012 10:59:00 | 只看该作者
(3)
(a) China’s GDP numbers  Remembrance of Things Fast.
(China's 3Q12 GDP growth rate was 7.4%, its "slowest rate of expansion since early 2009 * * * The 7.4% figure was a 'year-on-year' calculation, comparing China's economy from July to September with the same period period last year. Of more interest to investors was teh comparison with more recent periods. Between the second quarter and the third, for example, the economy grew at an annualized rate of about 9%. That's enough to fill any China bull with nostalgia")

My comment:
(i) There is no need to read the rest of the report.
(ii) Little wonder about the mixed signals from Western reports coming out of China, with some saying that Chinese small, private companies have recently received more orders from US. However, nobody else but Economist points this (quarter-on-quarter) statistic out.
(iii) Still China is not out of woods. Traditionally US demand (and import) for consumer goods picks up before holiday season, so it is not unusual China exports more (to US) in 3Q12 than 2Q12. See next--(3)(b).

(b) Liyan Qi, Chinese Manufacturing Gauge Shows Signs of Recovery. Wall Street Journal, Oct 24, 2012
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB ... 75483774595230.html
("The index rose to 49.1 in October compared with a final reading of 47.9 in September, HSBC said on Wednesday. A reading below 50 indicates contraction from the previous month, while above 50 indicates growth. Still, the preliminary October reading marks the 12th straight month the index has been in contractionary territory [ie, below 50], signaling extended difficulty for manufacturers")

My comment:
(a) There are two purchasing manager indices for China; one is official (published by China's government and the other by HSBC. The former (official one) is always more optismic than the latter.
(b) October is not over yet. That is why for October the PMI is called "preliminary" or "flash."
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4#
 楼主| 发表于 10-24-2012 10:59:17 | 只看该作者
(4) Launching aircraft | Proof by Induction; In the future, airliners could be catapulted into the sky by electric motors.
http://www.economist.com/news/sc ... sky-electric-motors

My comment:
(a) Fireball XL5
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fireball_XL5
(1962-1963; section 12 External links)

In fact, the photo that accompanies this article demonstrated the concept of Fireball XL5 launching.
(b) Sure, it is desirable to use catapult (steam or Electromagnetic Aircraft Launch System (EMALS)) to launch airplanes--Taiwanese have dreamed about either, so that airplanes may still fly despite China's bombardments of infrastructures, including airports and highways (which can be stopgap airstrips). However, it is difficult to set up one: just ask Russians and Chinese, who could not even build an aircraft carrier with STEAM catapult but hahave had to rely on ski jump.
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