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台國防部稱解放軍攻台有三大弱點

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发表于 12-15-2021 11:01:51 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
南希, 台國防部稱解放軍攻台有三大弱點 提出新防衛順序. HK01, Dec 13, 2021.
https://www.hk01.com/即時中國/711574/台國防部稱解放軍攻台有三大弱點-提出新防衛順序

Note:
(a) In the Web, I fail to find a copy of the report titled 因應2025年中共全面犯台國軍強化戰力作法.
(b) "台灣國防部分析稱,解放軍攻台有三大弱點。首先是正規登陸輸具不足,無法一次將所有部隊送上台灣,須區分多梯隊登陸"

The corresponding paragraphs in two news reports:
(i) 洪哲政, 國防部指出共軍攻台三大弱點 聯合截擊讓共軍缺乏補給. 聯合報. Dec 12, 2021 (time: 12:10; "台北即時報導" -- ie, online but not in print)
https://udn.com/news/story/10930/5956044
("國防部並表示,共軍攻台須奪取港口、機場,實施行政下卸。因中共正規登陸輸具不足,若以滾裝貨輪等非正規輸具及運輸機運送後續登陸部隊,須先期奪佔港口、機場,以遂行人員、物資下卸。但國軍固守港口及機場,短時間佔領不易,登陸行動將面臨極高的風險")
(ii) Ben Blanchard, Taiwan Says Confident Chinese Invasion Would Be Very Hard. Reuters, Dec 13, 2021
https://www.reuters.com/business ... ry-hard-2021-12-13/
("In a report to lawmakers, Taiwan's Defence Ministry said China's transport capacity was at present limited, it would not be able to land all its forces in one go, and would have to rely on 'non-standard' roll-on, roll-off ships that would need to use port facilities and transport aircraft that would need airports")
• There is no need to read the rest of these two reports.
• 行政下卸?  I did not see this term while back in Taiwan. Googling it shows Chinese in PRC do not use this term. Further research reveals this term is translated from English: administrative offloading. There is no definition in the Web of this term, which, though uncommon, is not limited to military use but in commerce also. One example is:
Dennis J Blasko, The Chinese Army Today; Tradition and transformation for the 21st century. Routledge, 2006 (in "Asian Security Studies" series; this is the 1st edition -- the same author, publisher and title had 2nd edition in 2011), at page 187
https://silo.pub/the-chinese-arm ... rity-studies-s.html
("Techniques to increase sea transport capabilities include rapid turn-around of the existing fleet and the use of large civilian vessels if port or dock facilities have been secured, allowing for the administrative offloading of heavy equipment")
(iii) 詹仁吉(少校), 淺談中共滾裝式貨輪發展與軍事運用. (台)海軍司令部, 2019 (under the heading 作戰研究), at page 113
https://navy.mnd.gov.tw/Files/Paper/8-淺談中共滾裝式.pdf
("因此,中共近年藉由例次演訓中,持續將「滾裝式貨輪」納入演習課目,使其可配合裝載正規之非兩棲作戰兵力,擔任快速奪港部隊之後方保障群之輸具,約可在2小時內完成行政下卸與戰力集結,另配合空中突擊、特戰人員與先期潛伏特工,奪控港區及周邊道路後,結合第三代北斗衛星定位導引技術,引導卸載之戰鬥車輛立即向所望地區發起攻擊,以加速攻擊進程與作戰部署,並可大幅提高兵力彈性運用之靈活性,同時也粉碎國軍執行反擊作戰之有利條件")


(c) "台軍以海峽天塹優勢及發揮聯合截擊作戰效益,將導致解放軍補給中斷"

The Reuters report (above) had two consecutive paragraphs:

"China's logistics face challenges too, as any landing forces would need to be resupplied with weapons, food and medicines across the Taiwan Strait that separates the two, it added.

" 'The nation's military has the advantage of the Taiwan Strait being a natural moat and can use joint intercept operations, cutting off the Communist military's supplies, severely reducing the combat effectiveness and endurance of the landing forces.'

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